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2022 NFL Expected Completion % Leaders

The completion percentage an average passer would have had on these exact throws. Low numbers mean a quarterback is attempting hard, deep or contested passes.

How to read it. Read it next to completion %. A high completion % with a low expected one is the sign of real accuracy.

The 2022 leaders: Kyler Murray (68.3%), Matt Ryan (67.7%), Matthew Stafford (67.2%).

Expected Completion %

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksxCmp%
1Kyler MurrayQBARI39043768.3%
2Matt RyanQBIND46150867.7%
3Matthew StaffordQBLA30333767.2%
4Justin HerbertQBLAC69975766.9%
5Baker MayfieldQBCAR33538566.8%
6Tom BradyQBTB73375666.7%
7Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF30832966.7%
8Mac JonesQBNE44249465.9%
9Carson WentzQBWAS27631465.8%
10Daniel JonesQBNYG47256565.8%
11Jared GoffQBDET58762465.6%
12Trevor LawrenceQBJAX58463365.6%
13Jalen HurtsQBPHI46054165.5%
14Joe BurrowQBCIN60667365.5%
15Dak PrescottQBDAL39442965.4%
16Andy DaltonQBNO37841465.4%
17Patrick MahomesQBKC64872065.0%
18Geno SmithQBSEA57265065.0%
19Lamar JacksonQBBAL32637765.0%
20Davis MillsQBHOU47952664.9%
21Derek CarrQBLV50254364.6%
22Aaron RodgersQBGB54258564.5%
23Kirk CousinsQBMIN64369864.5%
24Zach WilsonQBNYJ24227863.9%
25Ryan TannehillQBTEN32537063.9%
26Tua TagovailoaQBMIA40043063.6%
27Russell WilsonQBDEN48356563.5%
28Kenny PickettQBPIT38944363.5%
29Jacoby BrissettQBCLE36941362.6%
30Taylor HeinickeQBWAS25928962.6%
31Justin FieldsQBCHI31843962.3%
32Josh AllenQBBUF56765062.2%
33Marcus MariotaQBATL30035162.2%

More 2022 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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