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2026 NFL Expected Completion % Leaders

The completion percentage an average passer would have had on these exact throws. Low numbers mean a quarterback is attempting hard, deep or contested passes.

How to read it. Read it next to completion %. A high completion % with a low expected one is the sign of real accuracy.

The 2026 leaders: Bo Nix (68.3%), Kyler Murray (67.5%), Jalon Daniels (67.2%).

Expected Completion %

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksxCmp%
1Bo NixQBDEN18920268.3%
2Kyler MurrayQBMIN10112267.5%
3Jalon DanielsQBTB9812367.2%
4Caleb WilliamsQBCHI9111166.4%
5Cam WardQBTEN17719966.2%
6Geno SmithQBNYJ17720466.1%
7Michael Penix Jr.QBATL11012265.8%
8Patrick MahomesQBKC15817465.6%
9Jacoby BrissettQBARI23424965.3%
10Deshaun WatsonQBCLE17422065.2%
11Jalen HurtsQBPHI15417964.9%
12Aaron RodgersQBPIT23325264.8%
13Tyler ShoughQBNO23525564.7%
14Dak PrescottQBDAL24626564.5%
15Justin HerbertQBLAC18021964.5%
16Brock PurdyQBSF17119064.2%
17Jared GoffQBDET19120764.2%
18Joe BurrowQBCIN18920464.2%
19Matthew StaffordQBLA24926064.1%
20Sam DarnoldQBSEA14916664.0%
21Baker MayfieldQBTB9611863.7%
22Daniel JonesQBIND21823963.7%
23Kirk CousinsQBLV21322163.6%
24C.J. StroudQBHOU21923763.6%
25Jayden DanielsQBWAS11614363.4%
26Lamar JacksonQBBAL9611163.4%
27Josh AllenQBBUF17120063.3%
28Jameis WinstonQBNYG15817863.3%
29Trevor LawrenceQBJAX18420063.0%
30Malik WillisQBMIA13016062.5%
31Bryce YoungQBCAR20121762.4%
32Jordan LoveQBGB22624062.3%
33Drake MayeQBNE18321462.1%

More 2026 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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