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2021 NFL Expected Completion % Leaders

The completion percentage an average passer would have had on these exact throws. Low numbers mean a quarterback is attempting hard, deep or contested passes.

How to read it. Read it next to completion %. A high completion % with a low expected one is the sign of real accuracy.

The 2021 leaders: Jared Goff (67.1%), Davis Mills (66.8%), Tua Tagovailoa (66.2%).

Expected Completion %

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 31 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksxCmp%
1Jared GoffQBDET49453567.1%
2Davis MillsQBHOU39443366.8%
3Tua TagovailoaQBMIA38842566.2%
4Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF44147366.2%
5Kyler MurrayQBARI48154166.1%
6Derek CarrQBLV62668066.0%
7Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT60564466.0%
8Zach WilsonQBNYJ38344265.8%
9Sam DarnoldQBCAR40646465.8%
10Tom BradyQBTB71974965.5%
11Matthew StaffordQBLA60163965.2%
12Justin HerbertQBLAC67273865.2%
13Trevor LawrenceQBJAX60266364.9%
14Dak PrescottQBDAL59664664.8%
15Patrick MahomesQBKC65873264.7%
16Kirk CousinsQBMIN56159964.5%
17Daniel JonesQBNYG36140564.5%
18Taylor HeinickeQBWAS49456964.4%
19Carson WentzQBIND51657464.3%
20Matt RyanQBATL56061664.3%
21Lamar JacksonQBBAL38246564.2%
22Joe BurrowQBCIN52058964.1%
23Ryan TannehillQBTEN53159664.0%
24Baker MayfieldQBCLE41848463.9%
25Mac JonesQBNE52156363.8%
26Teddy BridgewaterQBDEN42647263.4%
27Aaron RodgersQBGB53157563.0%
28Jalen HurtsQBPHI43250662.5%
29Josh AllenQBBUF64671861.8%
30Russell WilsonQBSEA40045661.3%
31Justin FieldsQBCHI27034960.6%

More 2021 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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