Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2021 NFL Clutch EPA per Dropback Leaders
EPA per dropback in the 4th quarter or overtime with the score within 8 points. This matches FootballKickingStats.com's clutch definition on purpose.
The 2021 leaders: Matthew Stafford (+0.65), Aaron Rodgers (+0.48), Patrick Mahomes (+0.40).
Clutch EPA per Dropback
Minimum to rank: cl db >= 3 × team games. 24 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Clutch EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 601 | 639 | +0.65 |
| 2 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 531 | 575 | +0.48 |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 658 | 732 | +0.40 |
| 4 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 672 | 738 | +0.34 |
| 5 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 441 | 473 | +0.33 |
| 6 | Tom Brady | QB | TB | 719 | 749 | +0.30 |
| 7 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 388 | 425 | +0.29 |
| 8 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 520 | 589 | +0.24 |
| 9 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 626 | 680 | +0.23 |
| 10 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 596 | 646 | +0.22 |
| 11 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 646 | 718 | +0.20 |
| 12 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 561 | 599 | +0.19 |
| 13 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 605 | 644 | +0.15 |
| 14 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 531 | 596 | +0.13 |
| 15 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 382 | 465 | +0.12 |
| 16 | Carson Wentz | QB | IND | 516 | 574 | +0.09 |
| 17 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 481 | 541 | +0.05 |
| 18 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | WAS | 494 | 569 | -0.00 |
| 19 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 361 | 405 | -0.03 |
| 20 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 400 | 456 | -0.06 |
| 21 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 494 | 535 | -0.06 |
| 22 | Zach Wilson | QB | NYJ | 383 | 442 | -0.14 |
| 23 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 418 | 484 | -0.18 |
| 24 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 602 | 663 | -0.20 |
More 2021 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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