Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2018 NFL Clutch EPA per Dropback Leaders
EPA per dropback in the 4th quarter or overtime with the score within 8 points. This matches FootballKickingStats.com's clutch definition on purpose.
The 2018 leaders: Tom Brady (+0.71), Marcus Mariota (+0.44), Patrick Mahomes (+0.37).
Clutch EPA per Dropback
Minimum to rank: cl db >= 3 × team games. 28 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Clutch EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 570 | 594 | +0.71 |
| 2 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 331 | 407 | +0.44 |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 580 | 633 | +0.37 |
| 4 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 608 | 666 | +0.36 |
| 5 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 489 | 510 | +0.30 |
| 6 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 508 | 545 | +0.29 |
| 7 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 486 | 525 | +0.24 |
| 8 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 505 | 619 | +0.23 |
| 9 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 434 | 493 | +0.20 |
| 10 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 526 | 611 | +0.19 |
| 11 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 597 | 677 | +0.18 |
| 12 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 675 | 708 | +0.16 |
| 13 | Case Keenum | QB | DEN | 586 | 630 | +0.16 |
| 14 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 553 | 605 | +0.15 |
| 15 | Andrew Luck | QB | IND | 639 | 676 | +0.15 |
| 16 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 576 | 626 | +0.14 |
| 17 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 561 | 612 | +0.12 |
| 18 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 365 | 395 | +0.12 |
| 19 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 427 | 499 | +0.09 |
| 20 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 401 | 446 | +0.07 |
| 21 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 471 | 523 | +0.07 |
| 22 | Josh Rosen | QB | ARI | 393 | 451 | +0.05 |
| 23 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 414 | 458 | -0.07 |
| 24 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 378 | 440 | -0.09 |
| 25 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 379 | 396 | -0.13 |
| 26 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 403 | 473 | -0.22 |
| 27 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 606 | 660 | -0.23 |
| 28 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 555 | 607 | -0.32 |
More 2018 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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