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2018 NFL Success Rate Leaders

The share of dropbacks with positive EPA, meaning the play left the offense better off than before it. We use the same rule in both leagues so the numbers compare.

How to read it. Around 45% is average for a starter; 50% is excellent.

The 2018 leaders: Drew Brees (55.9%), Patrick Mahomes (52.3%), Tom Brady (51.3%).

Success Rate

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksSuccess
1Drew BreesQBNO48951055.9%
2Patrick MahomesQBKC58063352.3%
3Tom BradyQBNE57059451.3%
4Matt RyanQBATL60866651.2%
5Jared GoffQBLA56161250.8%
6Philip RiversQBLAC50854550.6%
7Andrew LuckQBIND63967650.6%
8Ryan FitzpatrickQBTB24628350.2%
9Carson WentzQBPHI40144650.0%
10Jameis WinstonQBTB37844050.0%
11Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT67570849.9%
12Deshaun WatsonQBHOU50561948.9%
13Mitchell TrubiskyQBCHI43449348.9%
14Cam NewtonQBCAR47152348.8%
15Kirk CousinsQBMIN60666047.7%
16Derek CarrQBLV55360547.6%
17Andy DaltonQBCIN36539547.6%
18Russell WilsonQBSEA42749947.3%
19Marcus MariotaQBTEN33140746.7%
20Aaron RodgersQBGB59767746.5%
21Nick MullensQBSF27428846.5%
22Baker MayfieldQBCLE48652546.1%
23Dak PrescottQBDAL52661145.0%
24Alex SmithQBWAS32836945.0%
25Joe FlaccoQBBAL37939644.9%
26Case KeenumQBDEN58663043.7%
27Matthew StaffordQBDET55560743.3%
28Eli ManningQBNYG57662642.7%
29Blake BortlesQBJAX40347342.5%
30Sam DarnoldQBNYJ41445842.1%
31Josh AllenQBBUF31939441.4%
32Ryan TannehillQBMIA27431541.0%
33Josh RosenQBARI39345136.1%

More 2018 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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