Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2018 NFL First-Down Rate per Dropback Leaders
The share of dropbacks that produced a first down or touchdown, including scrambles.
The 2018 leaders: Ryan Fitzpatrick (41.7%), Drew Brees (39.4%), Philip Rivers (39.1%).
First-Down Rate per Dropback
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 1D% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | TB | 246 | 283 | 41.7% |
| 2 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 489 | 510 | 39.4% |
| 3 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 508 | 545 | 39.1% |
| 4 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 561 | 612 | 39.1% |
| 5 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 580 | 633 | 39.0% |
| 6 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 378 | 440 | 38.0% |
| 7 | Nick Mullens | QB | SF | 274 | 288 | 36.8% |
| 8 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 608 | 666 | 36.8% |
| 9 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 401 | 446 | 36.8% |
| 10 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 471 | 523 | 36.1% |
| 11 | Andrew Luck | QB | IND | 639 | 676 | 36.1% |
| 12 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 675 | 708 | 36.0% |
| 13 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 505 | 619 | 35.7% |
| 14 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 570 | 594 | 35.2% |
| 15 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 365 | 395 | 34.4% |
| 16 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 427 | 499 | 34.1% |
| 17 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 434 | 493 | 33.9% |
| 18 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 486 | 525 | 33.7% |
| 19 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 555 | 607 | 33.6% |
| 20 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 606 | 660 | 33.3% |
| 21 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 331 | 407 | 33.2% |
| 22 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 553 | 605 | 33.1% |
| 23 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 576 | 626 | 32.9% |
| 24 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 526 | 611 | 32.2% |
| 25 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 597 | 677 | 32.2% |
| 26 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 379 | 396 | 31.3% |
| 27 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 403 | 473 | 31.1% |
| 28 | Alex Smith | QB | WAS | 328 | 369 | 30.6% |
| 29 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | MIA | 274 | 315 | 30.5% |
| 30 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 414 | 458 | 30.1% |
| 31 | Case Keenum | QB | DEN | 586 | 630 | 29.7% |
| 32 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 319 | 394 | 28.7% |
| 33 | Josh Rosen | QB | ARI | 393 | 451 | 26.6% |
More 2018 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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