Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2020 NFL First-Down Rate per Dropback Leaders
The share of dropbacks that produced a first down or touchdown, including scrambles.
The 2020 leaders: Aaron Rodgers (40.4%), Ryan Tannehill (40.2%), Mitchell Trubisky (39.8%).
First-Down Rate per Dropback
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 35 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 1D% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 526 | 567 | 40.4% |
| 2 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 481 | 525 | 40.2% |
| 3 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 297 | 332 | 39.8% |
| 4 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 588 | 649 | 39.6% |
| 5 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 516 | 569 | 39.2% |
| 6 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | MIA | 267 | 295 | 38.3% |
| 7 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 572 | 627 | 38.3% |
| 8 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 544 | 653 | 37.7% |
| 9 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 528 | 575 | 37.4% |
| 10 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 486 | 532 | 37.2% |
| 11 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 390 | 403 | 37.0% |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | TB | 610 | 631 | 36.9% |
| 13 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 626 | 682 | 36.5% |
| 14 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 517 | 562 | 36.1% |
| 15 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 558 | 627 | 36.0% |
| 16 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 558 | 657 | 35.8% |
| 17 | Philip Rivers | QB | IND | 543 | 560 | 35.7% |
| 18 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 376 | 451 | 35.5% |
| 19 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 595 | 648 | 35.2% |
| 20 | Nick Mullens | QB | SF | 326 | 347 | 34.6% |
| 21 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 404 | 449 | 34.3% |
| 22 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | CAR | 492 | 558 | 34.1% |
| 23 | Cam Newton | QB | NE | 368 | 417 | 33.8% |
| 24 | Gardner Minshew | QB | JAX | 327 | 377 | 33.7% |
| 25 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 552 | 595 | 33.3% |
| 26 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 290 | 323 | 33.1% |
| 27 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 448 | 513 | 32.7% |
| 28 | Andy Dalton | QB | DAL | 333 | 372 | 32.5% |
| 29 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 608 | 624 | 31.2% |
| 30 | Drew Lock | QB | DEN | 443 | 481 | 31.2% |
| 31 | Dwayne Haskins | QB | WAS | 241 | 268 | 28.7% |
| 32 | Nick Foles | QB | CHI | 312 | 332 | 28.3% |
| 33 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 364 | 422 | 28.0% |
| 34 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 437 | 508 | 27.4% |
| 35 | Alex Smith | QB | WAS | 252 | 277 | 26.7% |
More 2020 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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