Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2023 NFL First-Down Rate per Dropback Leaders
The share of dropbacks that produced a first down or touchdown, including scrambles.
The 2023 leaders: Brock Purdy (40.9%), Tua Tagovailoa (37.6%), Dak Prescott (35.8%).
First-Down Rate per Dropback
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 32 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 1D% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 444 | 486 | 40.9% |
| 2 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 560 | 603 | 37.6% |
| 3 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 590 | 656 | 35.8% |
| 4 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 499 | 554 | 35.7% |
| 5 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 605 | 638 | 35.7% |
| 6 | Jake Browning | QB | CIN | 243 | 283 | 35.3% |
| 7 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 597 | 672 | 34.5% |
| 8 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 579 | 631 | 34.2% |
| 9 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 579 | 649 | 34.1% |
| 10 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 311 | 329 | 34.0% |
| 11 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 521 | 562 | 33.8% |
| 12 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 457 | 559 | 33.6% |
| 13 | Desmond Ridder | QB | ATL | 388 | 436 | 33.5% |
| 14 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 538 | 622 | 32.6% |
| 15 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 499 | 546 | 32.4% |
| 16 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 268 | 301 | 31.9% |
| 17 | Derek Carr | QB | NO | 548 | 588 | 31.8% |
| 18 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 566 | 636 | 31.4% |
| 19 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 456 | 516 | 31.4% |
| 20 | Justin Fields | QB | CHI | 370 | 457 | 30.6% |
| 21 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 564 | 640 | 30.5% |
| 22 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 365 | 402 | 30.3% |
| 23 | Joshua Dobbs | QB | ARI | 417 | 481 | 29.7% |
| 24 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 255 | 290 | 29.3% |
| 25 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 343 | 366 | 29.2% |
| 26 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | 447 | 524 | 28.6% |
| 27 | Gardner Minshew | QB | IND | 490 | 545 | 28.3% |
| 28 | Mac Jones | QB | NE | 345 | 379 | 27.4% |
| 29 | Sam Howell | QB | WAS | 612 | 709 | 27.4% |
| 30 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | 324 | 360 | 26.7% |
| 31 | Zach Wilson | QB | NYJ | 368 | 436 | 25.2% |
| 32 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 527 | 619 | 24.2% |
More 2023 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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