Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2024 NFL First-Down Rate per Dropback Leaders
The share of dropbacks that produced a first down or touchdown, including scrambles.
The 2024 leaders: Jared Goff (41.7%), Lamar Jackson (40.1%), Tua Tagovailoa (39.1%).
First-Down Rate per Dropback
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 36 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 1D% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 539 | 581 | 41.7% |
| 2 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 474 | 538 | 40.1% |
| 3 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 399 | 425 | 39.1% |
| 4 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 455 | 525 | 37.9% |
| 5 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 570 | 651 | 37.5% |
| 6 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 652 | 721 | 36.6% |
| 7 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 361 | 437 | 36.4% |
| 8 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 581 | 652 | 36.2% |
| 9 | Sam Darnold | QB | MIN | 545 | 620 | 35.5% |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 483 | 539 | 35.3% |
| 11 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 425 | 451 | 34.8% |
| 12 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 578 | 650 | 34.0% |
| 13 | Kirk Cousins | QB | ATL | 453 | 480 | 34.0% |
| 14 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 541 | 611 | 33.7% |
| 15 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 480 | 597 | 33.7% |
| 16 | Jameis Winston | QB | CLE | 296 | 327 | 33.0% |
| 17 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 284 | 314 | 32.8% |
| 18 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 517 | 547 | 32.7% |
| 19 | Joe Flacco | QB | IND | 248 | 269 | 32.7% |
| 20 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 504 | 573 | 32.6% |
| 21 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 532 | 620 | 32.4% |
| 22 | Gardner Minshew | QB | LV | 306 | 343 | 32.1% |
| 23 | Derek Carr | QB | NO | 279 | 295 | 31.9% |
| 24 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 338 | 416 | 31.7% |
| 25 | Russell Wilson | QB | PIT | 336 | 387 | 31.5% |
| 26 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 243 | 255 | 31.4% |
| 27 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | NYJ | 584 | 640 | 31.1% |
| 28 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 567 | 640 | 30.5% |
| 29 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 384 | 450 | 29.3% |
| 30 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 341 | 381 | 28.6% |
| 31 | Cooper Rush | QB | DAL | 308 | 324 | 28.4% |
| 32 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 286 | 311 | 28.3% |
| 33 | Mac Jones | QB | JAX | 262 | 290 | 28.3% |
| 34 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 562 | 676 | 28.3% |
| 35 | Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | 264 | 297 | 27.6% |
| 36 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 301 | 362 | 26.2% |
More 2024 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
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