Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2024 NFL 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Leaders
First downs or touchdowns on 3rd-down dropbacks.
The 2024 leaders: Patrick Mahomes (48.9%), Baker Mayfield (46.9%), Jared Goff (45.3%).
3rd-Down Conversion Rate
Minimum to rank: t3 db >= 4 × team games. 36 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 3D Conv% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 581 | 652 | 48.9% |
| 2 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 570 | 651 | 46.9% |
| 3 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 539 | 581 | 45.3% |
| 4 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 652 | 721 | 45.1% |
| 5 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 399 | 425 | 43.2% |
| 6 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 455 | 525 | 42.9% |
| 7 | Joe Flacco | QB | IND | 248 | 269 | 42.9% |
| 8 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 474 | 538 | 41.5% |
| 9 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 361 | 437 | 41.3% |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 483 | 539 | 39.1% |
| 11 | Derek Carr | QB | NO | 279 | 295 | 39.0% |
| 12 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 541 | 611 | 38.7% |
| 13 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 578 | 650 | 38.0% |
| 14 | Sam Darnold | QB | MIN | 545 | 620 | 37.4% |
| 15 | Russell Wilson | QB | PIT | 336 | 387 | 37.4% |
| 16 | Jameis Winston | QB | CLE | 296 | 327 | 37.4% |
| 17 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 480 | 597 | 37.3% |
| 18 | Gardner Minshew | QB | LV | 306 | 343 | 36.6% |
| 19 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 567 | 640 | 36.5% |
| 20 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 532 | 620 | 35.2% |
| 21 | Mac Jones | QB | JAX | 262 | 290 | 35.1% |
| 22 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 504 | 573 | 34.7% |
| 23 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 338 | 416 | 34.6% |
| 24 | Kirk Cousins | QB | ATL | 453 | 480 | 34.1% |
| 25 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | NYJ | 584 | 640 | 33.5% |
| 26 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 425 | 451 | 33.1% |
| 27 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 341 | 381 | 32.7% |
| 28 | Cooper Rush | QB | DAL | 308 | 324 | 32.6% |
| 29 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 301 | 362 | 32.4% |
| 30 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | NE | 161 | 187 | 31.9% |
| 31 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 384 | 450 | 31.8% |
| 32 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 286 | 311 | 31.2% |
| 33 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 562 | 676 | 30.3% |
| 34 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 517 | 547 | 30.1% |
| 35 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 284 | 314 | 29.4% |
| 36 | Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | 264 | 297 | 26.2% |
More 2024 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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