Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →First downs or touchdowns on 3rd-down dropbacks.
The 2023 leaders: Brock Purdy (45.4%), Jalen Hurts (45.0%), Dak Prescott (44.6%).
Minimum to rank: t3 db >= 4 × team games. 36 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 3D Conv% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 444 | 486 | 45.4% |
| 2 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 538 | 622 | 45.0% |
| 3 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 590 | 656 | 44.6% |
| 4 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 579 | 631 | 43.8% |
| 5 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 560 | 603 | 42.8% |
| 6 | Jake Browning | QB | CIN | 243 | 283 | 41.1% |
| 7 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 579 | 649 | 41.0% |
| 8 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 566 | 636 | 40.8% |
| 9 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 597 | 672 | 40.7% |
| 10 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 456 | 516 | 40.6% |
| 11 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 605 | 638 | 40.1% |
| 12 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 311 | 329 | 39.6% |
| 13 | Desmond Ridder | QB | ATL | 388 | 436 | 39.0% |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 521 | 562 | 38.7% |
| 15 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 499 | 554 | 38.4% |
| 16 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 564 | 640 | 37.4% |
| 17 | Joshua Dobbs | QB | ARI | 417 | 481 | 37.4% |
| 18 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 457 | 559 | 37.4% |
| 19 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 365 | 402 | 37.3% |
| 20 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 268 | 301 | 37.0% |
| 21 | Justin Fields | QB | CHI | 370 | 457 | 36.0% |
| 22 | Derek Carr | QB | NO | 548 | 588 | 36.0% |
| 23 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 499 | 546 | 34.6% |
| 24 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | NYG | 180 | 217 | 33.8% |
| 25 | Sam Howell | QB | WAS | 612 | 709 | 33.3% |
| 26 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | 324 | 360 | 33.1% |
| 27 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | 447 | 524 | 32.2% |
| 28 | Gardner Minshew | QB | IND | 490 | 545 | 32.0% |
| 29 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 343 | 366 | 31.8% |
| 30 | Mac Jones | QB | NE | 345 | 379 | 29.9% |
| 31 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 230 | 268 | 29.8% |
| 32 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 527 | 619 | 29.1% |
| 33 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 255 | 290 | 27.8% |
| 34 | Zach Wilson | QB | NYJ | 368 | 436 | 26.9% |
| 35 | Bailey Zappe | QB | NE | 212 | 246 | 19.4% |
| 36 | Tommy DeVito | QB | NYG | 178 | 237 | 19.2% |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
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