Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2023 NFL EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time Leaders
EPA per dropback with garbage time removed: a margin of more than 38 points in the 2nd quarter, 28 in the 3rd or 22 in the 4th. This is a split, never a replacement for the full number.
The 2023 leaders: Brock Purdy (+0.31), Dak Prescott (+0.24), Tua Tagovailoa (+0.22).
EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 32 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | EPA/DB (no GT) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 444 | 486 | +0.31 |
| 2 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 590 | 656 | +0.24 |
| 3 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 560 | 603 | +0.22 |
| 4 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 579 | 649 | +0.20 |
| 5 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 605 | 638 | +0.14 |
| 6 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 579 | 631 | +0.14 |
| 7 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 538 | 622 | +0.13 |
| 8 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 499 | 554 | +0.13 |
| 9 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 457 | 559 | +0.13 |
| 10 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 597 | 672 | +0.13 |
| 11 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 311 | 329 | +0.12 |
| 12 | Jake Browning | QB | CIN | 243 | 283 | +0.12 |
| 13 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 521 | 562 | +0.11 |
| 14 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 566 | 636 | +0.10 |
| 15 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 499 | 546 | +0.08 |
| 16 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 456 | 516 | +0.08 |
| 17 | Derek Carr | QB | NO | 548 | 588 | +0.04 |
| 18 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 365 | 402 | +0.03 |
| 19 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 564 | 640 | +0.03 |
| 20 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | 447 | 524 | +0.01 |
| 21 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 268 | 301 | -0.00 |
| 22 | Gardner Minshew | QB | IND | 490 | 545 | -0.00 |
| 23 | Justin Fields | QB | CHI | 370 | 457 | -0.01 |
| 24 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 255 | 290 | -0.04 |
| 25 | Desmond Ridder | QB | ATL | 388 | 436 | -0.05 |
| 26 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 343 | 366 | -0.05 |
| 27 | Sam Howell | QB | WAS | 612 | 709 | -0.09 |
| 28 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | 324 | 360 | -0.10 |
| 29 | Joshua Dobbs | QB | ARI | 417 | 481 | -0.11 |
| 30 | Mac Jones | QB | NE | 345 | 379 | -0.13 |
| 31 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 527 | 619 | -0.23 |
| 32 | Zach Wilson | QB | NYJ | 368 | 436 | -0.24 |
More 2023 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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