Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2019 NFL 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Leaders
First downs or touchdowns on 3rd-down dropbacks.
The 2019 leaders: Jimmy Garoppolo (46.6%), Lamar Jackson (46.4%), Patrick Mahomes (45.7%).
3rd-Down Conversion Rate
Minimum to rank: t3 db >= 4 × team games. 35 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 3D Conv% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 476 | 522 | 46.6% |
| 2 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 401 | 459 | 46.4% |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 484 | 524 | 45.7% |
| 4 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 444 | 481 | 44.5% |
| 5 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 513 | 554 | 43.2% |
| 6 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 495 | 580 | 43.1% |
| 7 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 596 | 638 | 43.0% |
| 8 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 378 | 385 | 42.9% |
| 9 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 607 | 671 | 42.1% |
| 10 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 591 | 628 | 41.5% |
| 11 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 626 | 704 | 41.4% |
| 12 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 286 | 329 | 40.7% |
| 13 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 291 | 316 | 40.4% |
| 14 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 616 | 685 | 39.9% |
| 15 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 459 | 524 | 39.3% |
| 16 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 626 | 657 | 38.9% |
| 17 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 569 | 630 | 37.2% |
| 18 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | MIA | 502 | 574 | 37.1% |
| 19 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | NO | 196 | 220 | 36.9% |
| 20 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | IND | 447 | 503 | 36.8% |
| 21 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 534 | 589 | 36.5% |
| 22 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 516 | 606 | 35.9% |
| 23 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 516 | 573 | 35.4% |
| 24 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 461 | 540 | 35.1% |
| 25 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 613 | 643 | 35.0% |
| 26 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 441 | 481 | 35.0% |
| 27 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 528 | 568 | 34.6% |
| 28 | Kyle Allen | QB | CAR | 489 | 553 | 33.8% |
| 29 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | 283 | 308 | 33.7% |
| 30 | Devlin Hodges | QB | PIT | 160 | 183 | 32.8% |
| 31 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 542 | 614 | 32.1% |
| 32 | Gardner Minshew | QB | JAX | 470 | 552 | 31.2% |
| 33 | Case Keenum | QB | WAS | 247 | 263 | 29.7% |
| 34 | Dwayne Haskins | QB | WAS | 203 | 243 | 28.4% |
| 35 | Joe Flacco | QB | DEN | 262 | 292 | 27.0% |
More 2019 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
Read Article →Why Sacks Belong Partly to the Quarterback
A sack is the rush, the line and the decision. Why our dropback stats count them.
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