Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completions divided by pass attempts. Spikes count as incomplete attempts, as the NFL counts them.
The 2018 leaders: Drew Brees (74.4%), Kirk Cousins (70.1%), Carson Wentz (69.6%).
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Cmp% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 489 | 510 | 74.4% |
| 2 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 606 | 660 | 70.1% |
| 3 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 401 | 446 | 69.6% |
| 4 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 608 | 666 | 69.4% |
| 5 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 553 | 605 | 68.9% |
| 6 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 331 | 407 | 68.9% |
| 7 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 505 | 619 | 68.3% |
| 8 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 508 | 545 | 68.3% |
| 9 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 471 | 523 | 67.9% |
| 10 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 526 | 611 | 67.7% |
| 11 | Andrew Luck | QB | IND | 639 | 676 | 67.3% |
| 12 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 675 | 708 | 67.0% |
| 13 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | TB | 246 | 283 | 66.7% |
| 14 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 434 | 493 | 66.6% |
| 15 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 555 | 607 | 66.1% |
| 16 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 580 | 633 | 66.0% |
| 17 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 576 | 626 | 66.0% |
| 18 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 570 | 594 | 65.8% |
| 19 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 427 | 499 | 65.6% |
| 20 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 561 | 612 | 64.9% |
| 21 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 378 | 440 | 64.6% |
| 22 | Nick Mullens | QB | SF | 274 | 288 | 64.2% |
| 23 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | MIA | 274 | 315 | 64.2% |
| 24 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 486 | 525 | 63.8% |
| 25 | Alex Smith | QB | WAS | 328 | 369 | 62.5% |
| 26 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 597 | 677 | 62.3% |
| 27 | Case Keenum | QB | DEN | 586 | 630 | 62.3% |
| 28 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 365 | 395 | 61.9% |
| 29 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 379 | 396 | 61.2% |
| 30 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 403 | 473 | 60.3% |
| 31 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 414 | 458 | 57.7% |
| 32 | Josh Rosen | QB | ARI | 393 | 451 | 55.2% |
| 33 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 319 | 394 | 52.7% |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
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