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2018 NFL Expected Completion % Leaders

The completion percentage an average passer would have had on these exact throws. Low numbers mean a quarterback is attempting hard, deep or contested passes.

How to read it. Read it next to completion %. A high completion % with a low expected one is the sign of real accuracy.

The 2018 leaders: Matthew Stafford (66.4%), Derek Carr (65.7%), Drew Brees (65.4%).

Expected Completion %

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksxCmp%
1Matthew StaffordQBDET55560766.4%
2Derek CarrQBLV55360565.7%
3Drew BreesQBNO48951065.4%
4Kirk CousinsQBMIN60666065.2%
5Marcus MariotaQBTEN33140765.2%
6Andrew LuckQBIND63967665.1%
7Cam NewtonQBCAR47152365.1%
8Blake BortlesQBJAX40347364.9%
9Dak PrescottQBDAL52661164.9%
10Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT67570864.8%
11Andy DaltonQBCIN36539564.6%
12Eli ManningQBNYG57662664.6%
13Case KeenumQBDEN58663064.0%
14Josh RosenQBARI39345163.9%
15Alex SmithQBWAS32836963.8%
16Philip RiversQBLAC50854563.8%
17Tom BradyQBNE57059463.6%
18Joe FlaccoQBBAL37939663.5%
19Nick MullensQBSF27428863.4%
20Ryan TannehillQBMIA27431563.3%
21Matt RyanQBATL60866663.1%
22Mitchell TrubiskyQBCHI43449362.9%
23Carson WentzQBPHI40144662.8%
24Jared GoffQBLA56161262.7%
25Deshaun WatsonQBHOU50561962.7%
26Aaron RodgersQBGB59767762.5%
27Baker MayfieldQBCLE48652562.3%
28Sam DarnoldQBNYJ41445862.0%
29Russell WilsonQBSEA42749961.6%
30Patrick MahomesQBKC58063360.5%
31Jameis WinstonQBTB37844060.3%
32Ryan FitzpatrickQBTB24628359.6%
33Josh AllenQBBUF31939458.6%

More 2018 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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