Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2016 NFL Clutch EPA per Dropback Leaders
EPA per dropback in the 4th quarter or overtime with the score within 8 points. This matches FootballKickingStats.com's clutch definition on purpose.
The 2016 leaders: Ben Roethlisberger (+0.74), Trevor Siemian (+0.51), Derek Carr (+0.38).
Clutch EPA per Dropback
Minimum to rank: cl db >= 3 × team games. 27 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Clutch EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 509 | 526 | +0.74 |
| 2 | Trevor Siemian | QB | DEN | 486 | 530 | +0.51 |
| 3 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 560 | 591 | +0.38 |
| 4 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 546 | 619 | +0.31 |
| 5 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 510 | 554 | +0.29 |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 459 | 509 | +0.28 |
| 7 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 610 | 686 | +0.27 |
| 8 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 673 | 696 | +0.25 |
| 9 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | MIA | 389 | 430 | +0.23 |
| 10 | Carson Palmer | QB | ARI | 597 | 639 | +0.21 |
| 11 | Brock Osweiler | QB | HOU | 510 | 550 | +0.15 |
| 12 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 534 | 587 | +0.11 |
| 13 | Kirk Cousins | QB | WAS | 606 | 635 | +0.11 |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 594 | 653 | +0.11 |
| 15 | Andrew Luck | QB | IND | 545 | 624 | +0.09 |
| 16 | Alex Smith | QB | KC | 489 | 537 | +0.05 |
| 17 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 598 | 622 | -0.00 |
| 18 | Sam Bradford | QB | MIN | 552 | 596 | -0.01 |
| 19 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 567 | 630 | -0.09 |
| 20 | Case Keenum | QB | LA | 322 | 353 | -0.11 |
| 21 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 607 | 657 | -0.11 |
| 22 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 578 | 619 | -0.12 |
| 23 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 451 | 494 | -0.13 |
| 24 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | BUF | 436 | 526 | -0.13 |
| 25 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 563 | 624 | -0.13 |
| 26 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 672 | 707 | -0.28 |
| 27 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 625 | 694 | -0.36 |
More 2016 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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