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2016 NFL EPA per Dropback Leaders

Expected points added per dropback. Every play changes how many points a team can expect to score from where it stands; EPA is that change. Dropbacks are pass attempts, sacks and scrambles, so a sack counts against the quarterback and a scramble for a first down counts for him. Spikes and kneel-downs are left out.

How to read it. 0.00 is about average. +0.20 is very good; +0.30 is a top-three season. Below −0.10 is a struggle.

The 2016 leaders: Tom Brady (+0.34), Matt Ryan (+0.31), Dak Prescott (+0.28).

EPA per Dropback

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 30 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksEPA/DB
1Tom BradyQBNE432458+0.34
2Matt RyanQBATL534587+0.31
3Dak PrescottQBDAL459509+0.28
4Aaron RodgersQBGB610686+0.24
5Kirk CousinsQBWAS606635+0.19
6Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT509526+0.17
7Drew BreesQBNO673696+0.16
8Matthew StaffordQBDET594653+0.15
9Marcus MariotaQBTEN451494+0.14
10Derek CarrQBLV560591+0.13
11Andrew LuckQBIND545624+0.13
12Andy DaltonQBCIN563624+0.12
13Tyrod TaylorQBBUF436526+0.11
14Jameis WinstonQBTB567630+0.11
15Russell WilsonQBSEA546619+0.10
16Alex SmithQBKC489537+0.10
17Philip RiversQBLAC578619+0.09
18Sam BradfordQBMIN552596+0.07
19Carson PalmerQBARI597639+0.06
20Colin KaepernickQBSF331401+0.05
21Ryan TannehillQBMIA389430+0.04
22Carson WentzQBPHI607657+0.04
23Trevor SiemianQBDEN486530+0.03
24Eli ManningQBNYG598622-0.01
25Joe FlaccoQBBAL672707-0.03
26Ryan FitzpatrickQBNYJ403440-0.03
27Blake BortlesQBJAX625694-0.03
28Cam NewtonQBCAR510554-0.05
29Brock OsweilerQBHOU510550-0.05
30Case KeenumQBLA322353-0.10

More 2016 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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