Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Expected points added on all dropbacks, added up over the season. It rewards both quality and volume.
The 2016 leaders: Matt Ryan (+184.1), Aaron Rodgers (+166.9), Tom Brady (+154.8).
Counting stat: every player above zero is listed. 69 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 534 | 587 | +184.1 |
| 2 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 610 | 686 | +166.9 |
| 3 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 432 | 458 | +154.8 |
| 4 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 459 | 509 | +144.3 |
| 5 | Kirk Cousins | QB | WAS | 606 | 635 | +121.0 |
| 6 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 673 | 696 | +112.2 |
| 7 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 594 | 653 | +94.7 |
| 8 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 509 | 526 | +91.8 |
| 9 | Andrew Luck | QB | IND | 545 | 624 | +81.3 |
| 10 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 560 | 591 | +78.0 |
| 11 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 563 | 624 | +75.5 |
| 12 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 451 | 494 | +70.4 |
| 13 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 567 | 630 | +66.5 |
| 14 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 546 | 619 | +60.0 |
| 15 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | BUF | 436 | 526 | +56.6 |
| 16 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 578 | 619 | +54.9 |
| 17 | Alex Smith | QB | KC | 489 | 537 | +51.7 |
| 18 | Sam Bradford | QB | MIN | 552 | 596 | +40.4 |
| 19 | Carson Palmer | QB | ARI | 597 | 639 | +38.6 |
| 20 | Brian Hoyer | QB | CHI | 200 | 203 | +35.1 |
| 21 | Matt Moore | QB | MIA | 87 | 87 | +29.6 |
| 22 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | NE | 63 | 68 | +28.3 |
| 23 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 607 | 657 | +25.1 |
| 24 | Cody Kessler | QB | CLE | 195 | 218 | +19.7 |
| 25 | Colin Kaepernick | QB | SF | 331 | 401 | +19.1 |
| 26 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | MIA | 389 | 430 | +17.6 |
| 27 | Trevor Siemian | QB | DEN | 486 | 530 | +17.3 |
| 28 | Mike Glennon | QB | TB | 11 | 11 | +6.1 |
| 29 | Shaun Hill | QB | MIN | 35 | 37 | +5.7 |
| 30 | Trevone Boykin | QB | SEA | 18 | 19 | +5.6 |
| 31 | Landry Jones | QB | PIT | 86 | 89 | +5.6 |
| 32 | Tony Romo | QB | DAL | 4 | 4 | +3.7 |
| 33 | Charlie Whitehurst | QB | CLE | 24 | 27 | +1.7 |
| 34 | Chase Daniel | QB | PHI | 1 | 1 | +1.6 |
| 35 | Matt Schaub | QB | ATL | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 36 | Kellen Clemens | QB | LAC | 1 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 37 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 14 | 19 | -2.0 |
| 38 | Matt Barkley | QB | CHI | 216 | 223 | -2.1 |
| 39 | David Fales | QB | CHI | 5 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 40 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 598 | 622 | -4.2 |
| 41 | Ryan Mallett | QB | BAL | 6 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 42 | Kevin Hogan | QB | CLE | 26 | 31 | -5.9 |
| 43 | Matt McGloin | QB | LV | 15 | 15 | -6.2 |
| 44 | Nick Foles | QB | KC | 55 | 59 | -6.4 |
| 45 | Derek Anderson | QB | CAR | 53 | 54 | -6.5 |
| 46 | EJ Manuel | QB | BUF | 26 | 31 | -6.9 |
| 47 | Paxton Lynch | QB | DEN | 83 | 98 | -8.0 |
| 48 | Cardale Jones | QB | BUF | 11 | 12 | -8.0 |
| 49 | Brett Hundley | QB | GB | 10 | 10 | -8.2 |
| 50 | Scott Tolzien | QB | IND | 37 | 41 | -9.2 |
| 51 | Tom Savage | QB | HOU | 73 | 80 | -10.8 |
| 52 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | NE | 55 | 67 | -11.8 |
| 53 | Connor Cook | QB | LV | 21 | 23 | -12.2 |
| 54 | Mark Sanchez | QB | DAL | 18 | 22 | -12.5 |
| 55 | Sean Mannion | QB | LA | 6 | 6 | -12.6 |
| 56 | Matt Cassel | QB | TEN | 51 | 56 | -12.6 |
| 57 | Drew Stanton | QB | ARI | 48 | 48 | -13.2 |
| 58 | Robert Griffin III | QB | CLE | 147 | 182 | -13.5 |
| 59 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | NYJ | 403 | 440 | -14.3 |
| 60 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 672 | 707 | -19.5 |
| 61 | Blaine Gabbert | QB | SF | 160 | 188 | -23.4 |
| 62 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 625 | 694 | -23.9 |
| 63 | Jay Cutler | QB | CHI | 137 | 157 | -26.0 |
| 64 | Josh McCown | QB | CLE | 165 | 186 | -26.4 |
| 65 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 510 | 554 | -28.2 |
| 66 | Brock Osweiler | QB | HOU | 510 | 550 | -30.2 |
| 67 | Case Keenum | QB | LA | 322 | 353 | -34.9 |
| 68 | Bryce Petty | QB | NYJ | 133 | 149 | -36.4 |
| 69 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 205 | 233 | -88.3 |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
Other seasons: 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016
What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
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