Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Dropback EPA plus EPA on designed runs. Scrambles are already inside the dropback number, so they are not counted twice.
The 2017 leaders: Tom Brady (+130.0), Philip Rivers (+116.2), Carson Wentz (+115.1).
Counting stat: every player above zero is listed. 71 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | QB EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 581 | 622 | +130.0 |
| 2 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 575 | 593 | +116.2 |
| 3 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 440 | 498 | +115.1 |
| 4 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 536 | 558 | +107.9 |
| 5 | Alex Smith | QB | KC | 505 | 572 | +106.5 |
| 6 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 477 | 510 | +93.0 |
| 7 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 562 | 589 | +88.4 |
| 8 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 529 | 567 | +75.7 |
| 9 | Case Keenum | QB | MIN | 481 | 522 | +71.6 |
| 10 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 178 | 188 | +59.7 |
| 11 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 553 | 645 | +57.2 |
| 12 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 523 | 570 | +52.9 |
| 13 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 442 | 495 | +45.5 |
| 14 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 204 | 240 | +44.1 |
| 15 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 565 | 629 | +37.1 |
| 16 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | BUF | 420 | 506 | +32.3 |
| 17 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 238 | 275 | +31.3 |
| 18 | Josh McCown | QB | NYJ | 397 | 445 | +24.0 |
| 19 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 515 | 544 | +20.3 |
| 20 | Kirk Cousins | QB | WAS | 540 | 604 | +19.7 |
| 21 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 492 | 556 | +18.1 |
| 22 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | TB | 163 | 180 | +13.2 |
| 23 | Sam Bradford | QB | MIN | 43 | 48 | +13.0 |
| 24 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 453 | 501 | +12.6 |
| 25 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 35 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 26 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 490 | 552 | +3.8 |
| 27 | Ryan Mallett | QB | BAL | 16 | 16 | -0.0 |
| 28 | EJ Manuel | QB | LV | 43 | 48 | -0.8 |
| 29 | Joe Webb | QB | BUF | 7 | 7 | -0.9 |
| 30 | David Fales | QB | MIA | 43 | 46 | -1.1 |
| 31 | Carson Palmer | QB | ARI | 267 | 290 | -1.1 |
| 32 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | HOU | 1 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 33 | Chad Henne | QB | JAX | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| 34 | AJ McCarron | QB | CIN | 14 | 15 | -2.6 |
| 35 | Cooper Rush | QB | DAL | 3 | 3 | -2.8 |
| 36 | Joe Callahan | QB | GB | 7 | 7 | -3.6 |
| 37 | Derek Anderson | QB | CAR | 8 | 8 | -4.2 |
| 38 | Jake Rudock | QB | DET | 5 | 5 | -6.7 |
| 39 | Landry Jones | QB | PIT | 28 | 31 | -6.9 |
| 40 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | MIN | 2 | 2 | -7.3 |
| 41 | Nate Sudfeld | QB | PHI | 23 | 27 | -8.7 |
| 42 | Kellen Clemens | QB | LAC | 8 | 8 | -9.7 |
| 43 | Geno Smith | QB | NYG | 36 | 42 | -10.0 |
| 44 | Tyler Bray | QB | KC | 1 | 1 | -10.3 |
| 45 | Kevin Hogan | QB | CLE | 75 | 86 | -11.3 |
| 46 | Sean Mannion | QB | LA | 37 | 40 | -13.0 |
| 47 | Cody Kessler | QB | CLE | 23 | 29 | -15.3 |
| 48 | Brock Osweiler | QB | DEN | 172 | 190 | -17.9 |
| 49 | Paxton Lynch | QB | DEN | 45 | 58 | -18.5 |
| 50 | Drew Stanton | QB | ARI | 159 | 167 | -20.5 |
| 51 | Nick Foles | QB | PHI | 101 | 106 | -20.9 |
| 52 | Matt Moore | QB | MIA | 127 | 140 | -21.2 |
| 53 | T.J. Yates | QB | HOU | 97 | 115 | -22.2 |
| 54 | Scott Tolzien | QB | IND | 18 | 23 | -23.0 |
| 55 | Jay Cutler | QB | MIA | 429 | 455 | -25.8 |
| 56 | Brian Hoyer | QB | SF | 211 | 228 | -29.2 |
| 57 | Bryce Petty | QB | NYJ | 112 | 126 | -29.8 |
| 58 | Nathan Peterman | QB | BUF | 48 | 52 | -30.9 |
| 59 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 496 | 545 | -31.7 |
| 60 | C.J. Beathard | QB | SF | 224 | 254 | -31.8 |
| 61 | Mike Glennon | QB | CHI | 140 | 149 | -33.4 |
| 62 | Matt Cassel | QB | TEN | 42 | 50 | -38.2 |
| 63 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 330 | 380 | -41.5 |
| 64 | Trevor Siemian | QB | DEN | 349 | 406 | -43.4 |
| 65 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | IND | 469 | 558 | -44.8 |
| 66 | Tom Savage | QB | HOU | 223 | 245 | -49.4 |
| 67 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 549 | 579 | -49.5 |
| 68 | Blaine Gabbert | QB | ARI | 171 | 207 | -54.2 |
| 69 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 571 | 608 | -59.8 |
| 70 | Brett Hundley | QB | GB | 316 | 366 | -60.6 |
| 71 | DeShone Kizer | QB | CLE | 476 | 558 | -93.7 |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
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