Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →EPA per dropback in the last two minutes of the 2nd and 4th quarters.
The 2025 leaders: Dak Prescott (+0.47), Jared Goff (+0.35), Matthew Stafford (+0.31).
Minimum to rank: two db >= 2 × team games. 37 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 2-Min EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 600 | 654 | +0.47 |
| 2 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 578 | 619 | +0.35 |
| 3 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 597 | 624 | +0.31 |
| 4 | Kirk Cousins | QB | ATL | 269 | 281 | +0.25 |
| 5 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 497 | 536 | +0.23 |
| 6 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 512 | 615 | +0.20 |
| 7 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 612 | 669 | +0.20 |
| 8 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 384 | 423 | +0.20 |
| 9 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 492 | 601 | +0.19 |
| 10 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | 289 | 310 | +0.19 |
| 11 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | 416 | 434 | +0.17 |
| 12 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 460 | 547 | +0.15 |
| 13 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 439 | 483 | +0.15 |
| 14 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 502 | 586 | +0.14 |
| 15 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 454 | 524 | +0.14 |
| 16 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 327 | 375 | +0.09 |
| 17 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 302 | 366 | +0.09 |
| 18 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 188 | 242 | +0.08 |
| 19 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 543 | 620 | +0.05 |
| 20 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 284 | 313 | +0.05 |
| 21 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 477 | 514 | +0.04 |
| 22 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 540 | 615 | +0.04 |
| 23 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 568 | 633 | +0.04 |
| 24 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 384 | 426 | +0.03 |
| 25 | Geno Smith | QB | LV | 448 | 519 | +0.03 |
| 26 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | 257 | 288 | +0.03 |
| 27 | Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | 185 | 214 | +0.03 |
| 28 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 560 | 641 | +0.01 |
| 29 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 478 | 536 | -0.02 |
| 30 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 339 | 411 | -0.04 |
| 31 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 423 | 468 | -0.05 |
| 32 | Justin Fields | QB | NYJ | 204 | 257 | -0.06 |
| 33 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 212 | 253 | -0.08 |
| 34 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 485 | 549 | -0.08 |
| 35 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 243 | 287 | -0.21 |
| 36 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 276 | 302 | -0.28 |
| 37 | Brady Cook | QB | NYJ | 153 | 179 | -0.51 |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
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