2020 NFL Catch Rate Over Expected Leaders

Catch rate minus the expected catch rate on the same targets, from the ACE completion model. It credits receivers who catch hard balls.

The 2020 leaders: Robert Tonyan (25.2%), Isaiah McKenzie (19.5%), Keke Coutee (18.0%).

Catch Rate Over Expected

Minimum to rank: 1.875 receptions per team game (the NFL's minimum for receiving rate leaders). 153 players.

Rk	Player	Pos	Team	Tgt	Rec	CROE
1	Robert Tonyan	TE	GB	59	52	25.2%
2	Isaiah McKenzie	WR	BUF	34	30	19.5%
3	Keke Coutee	WR	HOU	40	33	18.0%
4	Rashard Higgins	WR	CLE	52	37	17.4%
5	Stefon Diggs	WR	BUF	166	127	16.1%
6	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	84	65	14.8%
7	Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	39	36	14.7%
8	Davante Adams	WR	GB	149	115	14.6%
9	Julio Jones	WR	ATL	68	51	14.2%
10	Curtis Samuel	WR	CAR	97	77	14.2%
11	Jamaal Williams	RB	GB	35	31	13.5%
12	David Moore	WR	SEA	47	35	13.4%
13	Demarcus Robinson	WR	KC	59	45	13.2%
14	Randall Cobb	WR	HOU	48	38	12.7%
15	Tyler Lockett	WR	SEA	132	100	12.6%
16	Corey Davis	WR	TEN	92	65	12.3%
17	Jordan Akins	TE	HOU	49	37	12.1%
18	Myles Gaskin	RB	MIA	47	41	11.9%
19	Mo Alie-Cox	TE	IND	39	31	11.9%
20	Sterling Shepard	WR	NYG	90	66	11.3%
21	Cole Beasley	WR	BUF	107	82	11.1%
22	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	145	105	10.8%
23	George Kittle	TE	SF	63	48	10.3%
24	Michael Thomas	WR	NO	55	40	10.2%
25	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	125	88	10.1%
26	Allen Lazard	WR	GB	46	33	10.0%
27	Jakobi Meyers	WR	NE	81	59	9.9%
28	Dan Arnold	TE	ARI	45	31	9.8%
29	Emmanuel Sanders	WR	NO	82	61	9.8%
30	Adam Thielen	WR	MIN	108	74	9.5%
31	Anthony Firkser	TE	TEN	53	39	9.3%
32	Will Fuller	WR	HOU	75	53	9.3%
33	Antonio Brown	WR	TB	62	45	9.0%
34	Giovani Bernard	RB	CIN	59	47	8.8%
35	Darren Waller	TE	LV	145	107	8.8%
36	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	65	46	8.8%
37	JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR	PIT	128	97	8.7%
38	Tyler Boyd	WR	CIN	110	79	8.7%
39	Brandin Cooks	WR	HOU	119	81	8.2%
40	Tim Patrick	WR	DEN	79	51	8.0%
41	Jarvis Landry	WR	CLE	101	72	8.0%
42	DK Metcalf	WR	SEA	129	83	7.7%
43	Mike Evans	WR	TB	109	70	7.7%
44	Tyler Higbee	TE	LA	60	44	7.4%
45	Tre'Quan Smith	WR	NO	50	34	7.3%
46	Cooper Kupp	WR	LA	124	92	7.2%
47	Cam Sims	WR	WAS	48	32	7.1%
48	A.J. Brown	WR	TEN	106	70	7.1%
49	Mike Davis	RB	CAR	70	59	7.1%
50	Marvin Jones	WR	DET	115	76	7.1%
51	Calvin Ridley	WR	ATL	143	90	7.0%
52	Scott Miller	WR	TB	53	33	6.9%
53	Nyheim Hines	RB	IND	76	63	6.8%
54	Allen Robinson	WR	CHI	151	102	6.8%
55	Tyreek Hill	WR	KC	135	87	6.7%
56	Robbie Chosen	WR	CAR	136	95	6.6%
57	Chase Edmonds	RB	ARI	67	53	6.3%
58	Chris Carson	RB	SEA	46	37	6.2%
59	Laviska Shenault Jr.	WR	JAX	79	58	6.2%
60	Golden Tate	WR	NYG	52	35	5.9%
61	Jakeem Grant	WR	MIA	54	36	5.8%
62	Austin Ekeler	RB	LAC	65	54	5.7%
63	Amari Cooper	WR	DAL	130	92	5.6%
64	Drew Sample	TE	CIN	53	40	5.4%
65	Hunter Renfrow	WR	LV	77	56	5.4%
66	D'Andre Swift	RB	DET	57	46	5.2%
67	David Montgomery	RB	CHI	68	54	5.1%
68	James Conner	RB	PIT	43	35	4.9%
69	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	ARI	160	115	4.9%
70	Willie Snead	WR	BAL	48	33	4.8%
71	Larry Fitzgerald	WR	ARI	72	54	4.7%
72	John Brown	WR	BUF	52	33	4.6%
73	Antonio Gibson	RB	WAS	44	36	4.5%
74	Kendrick Bourne	WR	SF	74	49	4.3%
75	Irv Smith	TE	MIN	43	30	4.3%
76	James Robinson	RB	JAX	60	49	4.2%
77	Dalton Schultz	TE	DAL	89	63	4.2%
78	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	88	58	4.1%
79	Mecole Hardman	WR	KC	62	41	3.9%
80	Robert Woods	WR	LA	129	90	3.9%
81	Sammy Watkins	WR	KC	55	37	3.7%
82	Chris Herndon	TE	NYJ	45	31	3.5%
83	Darnell Mooney	WR	CHI	98	61	3.5%
84	Devin Singletary	RB	BUF	50	38	3.4%
85	Anthony Miller	WR	CHI	76	49	3.3%
86	James White	RB	NE	62	49	3.2%
87	Dalvin Cook	RB	MIN	54	44	3.0%
88	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	111	74	2.9%
89	Gabe Davis	WR	BUF	62	35	2.8%
90	Nelson Agholor	WR	LV	82	48	2.7%
91	Braxton Berrios	WR	NYJ	55	37	2.6%
92	Travis Fulgham	WR	PHI	67	38	2.6%
93	Mike Gesicki	TE	MIA	85	53	2.6%
94	Mike Williams	WR	LAC	85	48	2.5%
95	Russell Gage	WR	ATL	109	72	2.3%
96	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	108	67	2.2%
97	Jared Cook	TE	NO	60	37	2.0%
98	Kareem Hunt	RB	CLE	51	38	2.0%
99	Chris Conley	WR	JAX	63	40	2.0%
100	Keenan Allen	WR	LAC	147	100	1.9%